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Iran war and monsoons key risk for Indian economy, says RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra

Economic Times 1d ago·17 Jul 2026, 5:53 am

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra has identified two major external risks for the Indian economy: escalating tensions in the Middle East and the potential for a weak monsoon. He noted that recent inflation remains elevated, primarily driven by supply-side factors rather than strong demand. Consequently, the central bank has advised policymakers to maintain a cautious approach, choosing to monitor the situation closely before making any significant policy shifts.

For investors, this statement suggests that market volatility could increase as global geopolitical risks and weather patterns evolve. While the domestic economy remains resilient, the governor’s comments imply that inflation control will be a priority. Market participants should watch for upcoming data on monsoon rains and global oil prices, as these factors will likely influence the central bank’s future decisions and market sentiment.

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  • Category: Economy.
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Iran war and monsoons key risk for Indian economy, says RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra