TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD Fair Value

TITAGARH · Capital Goods · Current price ₹859.85

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DocStoX fair value
₹275
low confidence
Current price
₹860
Upside to fair value
-68.1%
Verdict
Avoid
Quality score
2.4 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹1706% ROE fading to 12% over ~3 yrs, on ₹182 book
Relative P/E₹529EPS × 57.9 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹193Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst targetNo analyst coverage
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
Opens pre-filled with TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD's latest numbers.

Is TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD at ₹275 per share, versus the current market price of ₹860. That puts the stock about -68.1% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹170), Relative P/E (₹529), Graham floor (₹193). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹170 (bear) to ₹275 (base) to ₹529 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on TITAGARH RAIL SYSTEMS LTD

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.