The Karnataka Bank Limited Fair Value

KTKBANK · Financial Services · Current price ₹335.2

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DocStoX fair value
₹395
medium confidence · 66/100
Current price
₹325
Upside to fair value
+21.4%
Estimate range
₹352 – ₹435
Quality score
3.9 / 10
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Is The Karnataka Bank Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of The Karnataka Bank Limited at ₹395 per share, against a market price of ₹325. That puts the share price about +21.4% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 3 methods: Justified P/B (Gordon) (₹395), Residual income (excess return on book) (₹352), Relative P/B (₹463). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for The Karnataka Bank Limited spans ₹352 to ₹435. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for The Karnataka Bank Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence66/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹352 – ₹435

Why this method for this business

The justified P/B and residual income models are most appropriate for a private sector bank, as they focus on sustainable ROE and book value, which are critical for evaluating banks. The relative P/B model provides a market-based comparison for context.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Justified P/B (Gordon)
₹39560% weight

11% sustainable ROE vs 10.6% cost of equity justifies ~1.1× book

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹35230% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

Relative P/B
₹46310% weight
  • DCF is not suitable for banks due to the high leverage and debt-driven nature of the business
  • EV/EBITDA is not used as EBITDA is not a reliable metric for banks due to high interest expenses

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed peer comparisons for P/B ratios
  • Limited forward EBITDA estimates
  • No detailed analysis of credit risk exposure

What drives it

14 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
11.1%

computed

Dividend payout
13.5%

ratios/derived

Book value / share
349.8 ₹

reported

Peer-median P/B
1.32×

peer-median

Peers used
9

peer-median

Book value / share
349.78 ₹/share

computed

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Near-term growth g
9.6%

computed

High-growth years
10 yrs

building-block

Terminal ROE
11.1%

faded toward COE + moat

Terminal growth g
5%

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Justified P/B
1.13×

two-stage Gordon

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for The Karnataka Bank Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on The Karnataka Bank Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.