It is near 100% certainty that El Niño will continue through February 2027, says WMO
BusinessLine 3 hrs ago·3 Sept 2026, 4:58 am
The World Meteorological Organization has forecast that the El Niño weather pattern will persist through February 2027. This recurring climate event, characterized by warmer-than-average ocean temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, typically disrupts global weather systems. However, the WMO also noted a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole. This phenomenon involves warmer waters in the western Indian Ocean and cooler waters in the east, which can counterbalance the effects of El Niño in the Indian subcontinent.
For the Indian stock market, this dual weather signal is a key development. While El Niño generally brings dry spells and heatwaves to India, a strong positive Indian Ocean Dipole is known to trigger heavy monsoon rains. Investors should watch how the monsoon unfolds this year, as a robust rainfall season is critical for sectors like agriculture, FMCG, and infrastructure. Conversely, erratic weather could impact power demand and logistics, making weather patterns a major factor for portfolio allocation in the coming months.
Excerpt from BusinessLine
The World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) latest El Niño/La Niña update states that there’s nearly a 100 per cent chance that the El Niño will extend through to February 2027 and escalate into a forceful event later this year. A positive Indian Ocean Dipole is also forecast, which may change the impacts of…Read the original at BusinessLine
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- Category: Economy.
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