Oil and gas stocks to buy: ONGC vs Oil India shares - Kotak Securities raises FY27 forecast to $100; know preferred pick

Kotak Securities has revised its earnings outlook for ONGC and Oil India, citing a higher projected price for crude oil. The brokerage now anticipates crude will average $100 per barrel in the fiscal year ending March 2027, driven by potential supply constraints. This upward revision in the oil price assumption has led to increased earnings estimates for both state-owned exploration companies.
For investors, this shift highlights the sensitivity of these stocks to global energy prices. The brokerage has identified ONGC as its preferred pick, citing a significant potential for value appreciation. Conversely, the report suggests a more cautious stance on Oil India, pointing to a lower implied return potential in the near term.
Investors should monitor global oil supply trends and domestic policy changes. The key factor to watch is whether crude prices can sustain these higher levels, which will directly impact the profitability and stock performance of these major energy players.
Excerpt from Mint
Kotak raised its FY27 crude assumption to $100 per barrel amid supply risks and lifted earnings estimates for ONGC and Oil India. ONGC remains its preferred stock, with a 57% implied upside to its ₹ 360 fair value; Oil India’s ₹ 365 fair value implies about 20% downside. India's upstream oil and gas producers could…Read the original at Mint
Affected stocks
Bullish2 stocksBull / bear label is derived from the article's AI sentiment — indicative, not advice. Prices may be delayed.
Key takeaways
- Concerns Oil India (OIL).
- Category: Results.
- AI reads the tone as positive (potentially bullish) for the stock.
- Assessed as a significant, market-relevant update.
- Also mentions ONGC.
Why it matters
A meaningful update for Oil India worth tracking. The tone is positive — historically associated with upward pressure, though not predictive. Use the price and stock snapshot to gauge how the market is responding.













