Skymet Revises 2026 Southwest Monsoon Forecast To 85% Of Long Period Average

Weather forecasting agency Skymet has revised its outlook for the 2026 Southwest Monsoon, projecting rainfall to be 85% of the long-period average. This downgrade marks a shift from the agency's previous prediction of normal rainfall. The agency attributes this weaker outlook to the strengthening of El Nino conditions, which are known to disrupt typical monsoon patterns by altering atmospheric circulation.
For investors, this news carries significant implications, particularly for sectors like agriculture, FMCG, and infrastructure, which are heavily dependent on consistent rainfall. A below-average monsoon can impact crop yields and rural demand, potentially influencing stock performance in these areas. Investors should monitor the evolving El Nino conditions and subsequent updates from other meteorological agencies to gauge the market's reaction and assess potential sectoral impacts.
Key takeaways
- Category: Economy.
- AI reads the tone as negative (potentially bearish) for the stock.
- Flagged as a high-impact, market-moving story.
Why it matters
This is a high-impact development and could move the stock. The tone is negative — watch for downside reaction. Use the price and stock snapshot to gauge how the market is responding.











