Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited DCF Valuation
ABDL · Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Current price ₹748.7
Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited cash-flow valuation
Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹260.
Try your own assumptions
Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
The models agree and the inputs are well covered. Treat this as our firmest estimate.
Estimate range ₹234 – ₹286
Why this method for this business
Relative P/E and PEG are appropriate for an asset-light FMCG business with durable earnings power and a scalable moat. DCF is not suitable due to the lack of reliable cash flow data and the sensitivity of the valuation to discount rates.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
- dcf: Not suitable for an asset-light business with erratic cash flows and high sensitivity to discount rates
What was missing
- Lack of historical P/E data for the company
- Limited analyst coverage and dispersion data
- Uncertainty around long-term growth assumptions
What drives it
16 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 26.99×
- Peers used
- 6
- EPS (TTM)
- 7.9 ₹/share
- Earnings growth
- 379.1% CAGR
peer-median
peer-median
computed
computed
- Term: quality
- -6.2%
- Term: growth
- +11.2%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +13.3%
- Term: financial_strength
- +4.8%
- Term: history
- +0.0%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
quality 43/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount
durable ~11% CAGR (ROCE 13% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.6) → mild premium
history: no reliable own-history P/E → not used
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Premium vs sector
- +25.5%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 55%
- Fair P/E
- 33.87×
- Growth-implied P/E
- 30×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
min(growth, 30)
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.