Aegis Logistics Limited Intrinsic Value
AEGISLOG · Oil Gas & Consumable Fuels · Current price ₹1,370
Is Aegis Logistics Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Aegis Logistics Limited at ₹659 per share, against a market price of ₹1,354. That puts the share price about -51.3% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 1 method: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹659). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Aegis Logistics Limited spans ₹593 to ₹725. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
Margin of safety
Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,354 against an estimated value of ₹659, Aegis Logistics Limited trades at -51.3%, i.e. a premium to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Aegis Logistics Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹593 – ₹725
Why this method for this business
A relative P/E is appropriate for a cyclical energy trading business with sector-specific multiples, while DCF accounts for cash flow generation and discount rates. Both models are suitable for valuing a company with stable cash flows and a clear growth trajectory.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error)
- ev_ebitda is not used due to lack of reliable sector-specific EV/EBITDA multiples
- dcf is used despite its limitations due to the company's stable cash flows and predictable growth
What was missing
- Lack of forward EBITDA estimates
- Limited analyst coverage
- Insufficient historical P/E data for precise normalization
What drives it
14 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 13.42×
- Peers used
- 30
- EPS (TTM)
- 35.65 ₹/share
peer-median
peer-median
computed
- Term: quality
- -1.0%
- Term: growth
- +40.0%
- Term: capital_allocation
- -7.1%
- Term: financial_strength
- +5.7%
- Term: history
- +0.0%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
quality 53/100 (about average) → neutral
durable ~26% CAGR (ROCE 16% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount
financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.1) → mild premium
history: no reliable own-history P/E → not used
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Premium vs sector
- +37.8%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 59%
- Fair P/E
- 18.49×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Aegis Logistics Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Aegis Logistics Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.