AGI Greenpac Limited DCF Valuation

AGI · Capital Goods · Current price ₹750.6

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DocStoX fair value
₹675
medium confidence · 62/100
Current price
₹763
Upside to fair value
-11.5%
Estimate range
₹607 – ₹742
Cash-flow model
₹675
Discounted cash flow (2-stage) · 70% weight
5Y profit growth
+31.9%
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AGI Greenpac Limited cash-flow valuation

Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values AGI Greenpac Limited at ₹675 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 70% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹675. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with AGI Greenpac Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for AGI Greenpac Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence62/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹607 – ₹742

Why this method for this business

The DCF model is appropriate for a capital goods company with stable cash flows, while EV/EBITDA captures the industry's valuation trends.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹67570% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • Relative PE is not used due to lack of sufficient peer data
  • FCF-based models are not used due to limited forward data

What was missing

  • Forward-looking analyst estimates
  • Detailed peer comparison data
  • Industry-specific risk factors

What drives it

12 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
226 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
471.4 ₹cr

gross debt (cash n/a)

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
15.53%

COE (building-block)

Beta
1.15

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
20%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
linear

lifecycle Growth

Terminal growth (g)
5.41%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
10 y

lifecycle Growth horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Growth

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1.082×

moat Narrow + capital allocation

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.451

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for AGI Greenpac Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on AGI Greenpac Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.