Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited DCF Valuation

ALKYLAMINE · Chemicals · Current price ₹1,852

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,771
medium confidence · 59/100
Current price
₹1,868
Upside to fair value
-5.2%
Estimate range
₹1,594 – ₹1,948
5Y profit growth
-9.4%
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Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹1,771.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence59/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹1,594 – ₹1,948

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and EV/EBITDA are appropriate for a cyclical specialty chemical business, while relative PE provides a sector benchmark.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹1,86360% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹1,30010% weight
EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • DCF is not suitable for a cyclical business with volatile cash flows
  • Book value is not relevant for a capital-intensive chemical business

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for EV/EBITDA
  • Limited historical data on sector multiples

What drives it

22 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
1,535.9 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
-14.7 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
5,00,00,000

computed

Sector-median P/E
38.31×

peer-median

Peers used
22

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
44.03 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
48.17×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
19%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
31.87×

own-history (median of 5y)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-2.3%

quality 50/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
-26.3%

weak ~-3% CAGR (ROCE 26% > hurdle) → discount

Term: capital_allocation
-8.5%

capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount

Term: financial_strength
+7.3%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
+7.7%

history: market paid +26% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
291.8 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
9,301.5 ₹ cr

computed

Premium vs sector
-22.9%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
76%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
29.52×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.