Arvind Fashions Limited Fair Value

ARVINDFASN · Consumer Services · Current price ₹399.9

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DocStoX fair value
₹349
medium confidence · 54/100
Current price
₹447
Upside to fair value
-21.8%
Estimate range
₹254 – ₹384
Quality score
4.7 / 10
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Is Arvind Fashions Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Arvind Fashions Limited at ₹349 per share, against a market price of ₹447. That puts the share price about -21.8% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹377), PEG (growth-implied P/E) (₹254). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Arvind Fashions Limited spans ₹254 to ₹384. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Arvind Fashions Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence54/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹254 – ₹384

Why this method for this business

Relative P/E and PEG are appropriate for Arvind Fashions Ltd, an asset-light, branded retail business with durable earnings power and a scalable moat.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹37770% weight
PEG (growth-implied P/E)
₹25430% weight
  • dcf: Not suitable for a retail business with erratic cash flows and high growth assumptions
  • peg: Limited use due to low growth expectations in the sector

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EPS data
  • Limited analyst coverage
  • Uncertainty in macroeconomic conditions

What drives it

17 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
32.85×

peer-median

Peers used
7

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
8.95 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
74.35×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

Earnings growth
28.4% CAGR

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-9.6%

quality 36/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
+15.7%

durable ~24% CAGR (ROCE 7% < 12% hurdle (growth not value-accretive)) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
-6.0%

capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount

Term: financial_strength
+2.9%

financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.1) → mild premium

Term: history
+25.0%

history: market paid +126% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+28.1%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
76%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
42.07×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Growth-implied P/E
28.4×

min(growth, 30)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Arvind Fashions Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Arvind Fashions Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.