Ashika Global Securities Ltd. DCF Valuation

ASHIKAG · Financial Services · Current price ₹408

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DocStoX fair value
₹234
medium confidence · 68/100
Current price
₹415
Upside to fair value
-43.7%
Estimate range
₹211 – ₹258
Cash-flow model
₹257
Residual income (excess return on book) · 30% weight
5Y profit growth
+126.0%
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Ashika Global Securities Ltd. cash-flow valuation

Our residual income (excess return on book) values Ashika Global Securities Ltd. at ₹257 per share. Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity. It carries 30% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹234. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Ashika Global Securities Ltd.'s reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Ashika Global Securities Ltd.. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence68/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹211₹258

Why this method for this business

The NBFC sector is best valued by justified P/B, which aligns sustainable ROE with the cost of equity. Residual income complements this by capturing excess returns on book value, which is critical for a capital-light NBFC.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Justified P/B (Gordon)
₹22570% weight

10% sustainable ROE vs 10.6% cost of equity justifies ~0.9× book

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹25730% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

  • relative_pb was excluded due to lack of peer data and its sensitivity to market sentiment, which is not reliable for a sector with high regulatory and macro risks.

What was missing

  • Lack of forward estimates
  • Limited peer data for relative P/B
  • No EBITDA margin data for normalization

What drives it

11 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
10%

computed

Dividend payout
3%

ratios/derived

Book value / share
261 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Near-term growth g
9.7%

computed

High-growth years
10 yrs

building-block

Terminal ROE
10%

faded toward COE + moat

Terminal growth g
5%

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Justified P/B
0.86×

two-stage Gordon

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Ashika Global Securities Ltd.: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Ashika Global Securities Ltd.

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.