Aditya Vision Limited DCF Valuation

AVL · Consumer Services · Current price ₹572.5

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DocStoX fair value
₹540
medium confidence · 58/100
Current price
₹616
Upside to fair value
-12.4%
Estimate range
₹324 – ₹632
5Y profit growth
+42.4%
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Aditya Vision Limited cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Aditya Vision Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹540.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Aditya Vision Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Aditya Vision Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence58/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹324 – ₹632

Why this method for this business

Relative P/E and PEG are appropriate for a retail business with earnings power and a narrow moat, as they reflect market sentiment and growth expectations.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹63270% weight
PEG (growth-implied P/E)
₹23930% weight
  • dcf: Not suitable for a retail business with uncertain cash flows and high growth assumptions
  • peg: Limited by the narrow moat and low growth expectations

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates
  • Limited historical P/E data for accurate normalization

What drives it

16 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
40.93×

peer-median

Peers used
6

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
10.76 ₹/share

computed

Earnings growth
22.2% CAGR

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-1.6%

quality 52/100 (about average) → neutral

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~36% CAGR (ROCE 22% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+2.2%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+0.7%

financial strength: moderate leverage (D/E 0.8) → neutral

Term: history
+0.0%

history: no reliable own-history P/E → not used

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+43.6%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
60%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
58.77×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Growth-implied P/E
22.2×

min(growth, 30)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Aditya Vision Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Aditya Vision Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.