Bannari Amman Sugars Limited Fair Value

BANARISUG · Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Current price ₹3,384.5

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DocStoX fair value
₹4,978
medium confidence · 55/100
Current price
₹3,518
Upside to fair value
+41.5%
Estimate range
₹4,480 – ₹5,476
Quality score
4.0 / 10
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Is Bannari Amman Sugars Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Bannari Amman Sugars Limited at ₹4,978 per share, against a market price of ₹3,518. That puts the share price about +41.5% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA) (₹4,978). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Bannari Amman Sugars Limited spans ₹4,480 to ₹5,476. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Bannari Amman Sugars Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence55/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹4,480 – ₹5,476

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and EV/EBITDA are appropriate for a cyclical sugar producer with mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle multiple.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹4,97870% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • DCF is not suitable for a cyclical business with volatile cash flows
  • Book value is not relevant for an asset-heavy business

What was missing

  • Forward estimates are not available
  • Limited analyst coverage
  • No clear indication of a long-term moat

What drives it

7 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
1,916.7 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
-4.1 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
1,00,00,000

computed

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
12%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
21.63×

own-history (median of 5y)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
230 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
4,974 ₹ cr

computed

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Bannari Amman Sugars Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

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DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.