Belrise Industries Limited DCF Valuation
BELRISE · Automobile and Auto Components · Current price ₹231.65
Belrise Industries Limited cash-flow valuation
Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Belrise Industries Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹351.
Try your own assumptions
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How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Belrise Industries Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹276 – ₹389
Why this method for this business
Normalized earnings and relative PE are appropriate for a cyclical auto component business, as they reflect mid-cycle earnings and sector comparisons.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)
- ev_ebitda was excluded due to insufficient data quality and lack of clear EV/EBITDA multiples for the sector
What was missing
- Lack of historical EV/EBITDA multiples for the sector
- Limited analyst coverage for fair multiple estimation
What drives it
22 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Revenue (TTM)
- 9,509.1 ₹ cr
- Net debt
- 1,520.8 ₹ cr
- Shares outstanding
- 88,00,00,000
- Sector-median P/E
- 31.93×
- Peers used
- 22
- EPS (TTM)
- 5.5 ₹/share
computed
computed
computed
peer-median
peer-median
computed
- EBITDA margin (cycle median)
- 14%
- Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
- 26.84×
computed (≤5y median)
own-history (median of 5y)
- Term: quality
- +3.8%
- Term: growth
- +40.0%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +2.1%
- Term: financial_strength
- +4.7%
- Term: history
- +0.0%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
quality 63/100 (high, stable returns) → premium
durable ~21% CAGR (ROCE 12% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.3) → mild premium
history: no reliable own-history P/E → not used
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Mid-cycle EBITDA
- 1,331.3 ₹ cr
- Enterprise value
- 35,733.8 ₹ cr
- Net debt basis
- gross (cash unavailable)
- Premium vs sector
- +57.2%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 64%
- Fair P/E
- 50.19×
computed
computed
note: net debt approximated by gross debt (cash unavailable)
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Belrise Industries Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Belrise Industries Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.