Bharat Coking Coal Limited Fair Value

BHARATCOAL · Oil Gas & Consumable Fuels · Current price ₹31.87

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DocStoX fair value
₹7
low confidence · 40/100
Current price
₹33
Upside to fair value
-78.8%
Estimate range
₹7 – ₹8
Quality score
2.4 / 10
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Is Bharat Coking Coal Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Bharat Coking Coal Limited at ₹7 per share, against a market price of ₹33. That puts the share price about -78.8% above our estimate, at low confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA) (₹7). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Bharat Coking Coal Limited spans ₹7 to ₹8. That range is wide, which is the honest signal here: read the range rather than the single number. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Bharat Coking Coal Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence40/100

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹7 – ₹8

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA) is the most appropriate for a cyclical business like coal, where earnings fluctuate with the economic cycle. EV/EBITDA provides a more stable valuation metric for capital-intensive industries.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹770% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • Relative P/E is not suitable for a cyclical business with volatile earnings
  • DCF is not appropriate for a capital-intensive industry with uncertain cash flows

What was missing

  • Forward estimates are not available
  • Limited data on long-term demand for coking coal

What drives it

7 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
13,644.8 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
1,595.8 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
4,65,00,00,000

computed

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
4%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
9.19×

own-history (median of 3y)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
545.8 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
5,017 ₹ cr

computed

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Bharat Coking Coal Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Bharat Coking Coal Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.