BHARAT FORGE LTD Fair Value

BHARATFORG · Automobile and Auto Components · Current price ₹2,055.7

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DocStoX fair value
₹646
low confidence
Current price
₹2,056
Upside to fair value
-68.6%
Verdict
Avoid
Quality score
4.2 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹19713% ROE fading to 14% over ~3 yrs, on ₹200 book
Relative P/E₹793EPS × 35.1 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹319Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst target₹1,987Street consensus 12-month target price
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
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Is BHARAT FORGE LTD undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of BHARAT FORGE LTD at ₹646 per share, versus the current market price of ₹2,056. That puts the stock about -68.6% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 4 independent methods: Residual income (₹197), Relative P/E (₹793), Graham floor (₹319), Analyst target (₹1,987). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹197 (bear) to ₹646 (base) to ₹1,987 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on BHARAT FORGE LTD

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.