Blue Star Limited DCF Valuation

BLUESTARCO · Consumer Durables · Current price ₹1,567.6

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,858
medium confidence · 66/100
Current price
₹1,558
Upside to fair value
+19.3%
Estimate range
₹1,672 – ₹2,044
5Y profit growth
+39.3%
Model it yourself — DCF Calculator
Opens pre-filled with Blue Star Limited's latest numbers.

Blue Star Limited cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Blue Star Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹1,858.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Blue Star Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Blue Star Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence66/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹1,672 – ₹2,044

Why this method for this business

Blue Star is an asset-light compounder in the consumer durables sector, where normalized EPS and a durable moat-scaled multiple are the key valuation drivers. A relative P/E and PEG model are appropriate for capturing its earnings power and growth potential.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹1,85870% weight
PEG (growth-implied P/E)(rejected)
₹236

implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error)

  • dcf: Not suitable for an asset-light brand franchise where earnings are more predictable than cash flows
  • peg: Limited use due to the high growth assumptions and the need for a stable growth rate

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed information on capital allocation and long-term growth assumptions
  • Limited analyst coverage and dispersion in earnings estimates

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
48.97×

peer-median

Peers used
6

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
24.77 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
66.34×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
+5.3%

quality 66/100 (high, stable returns) → premium

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~31% CAGR (ROCE 20% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+9.4%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+5.9%

financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.3) → mild premium

Term: history
+10.6%

history: market paid +35% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+53.2%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
84%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
75×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Blue Star Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Blue Star Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.