Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited Intrinsic Value
COLPAL · Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Current price ₹1,770.9
Is Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited at ₹1,576 per share, against a market price of ₹1,797. That puts the share price about -12.3% above our estimate, at low confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 2 methods: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹2,571), Discounted cash flow (2-stage) (₹581). These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their midpoint rather than a weighted blend, and the disagreement is part of the finding. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited spans ₹788 to ₹2,571. That range is wide, which is the honest signal here: read the range rather than the single number. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
Margin of safety
Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,797 against an estimated value of ₹1,576, Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited trades at -12.3%, i.e. a premium to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.
Estimate range ₹788 – ₹2,571
Why this method for this business
Colgate-Palmolive India is an asset-light compounder with a durable brand and strong distribution, making relative PE and DCF the most appropriate models. Residual income is not suitable due to the lack of book-value relevance.
The models behind the number
These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their plain midpoint rather than a weighted blend. The disagreement is itself the finding.
Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path
- residual_income: not suitable for an asset-light brand with strong earnings power
What was missing
- Lack of detailed information on brand strength and competitive positioning
- Limited analyst coverage for precise multiple estimation
What drives it
27 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 39.88×
- Peers used
- 6
- EPS (TTM)
- 49.55 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 40.96×
- FCF_0 (normalized)
- 1,323 ₹cr
- Net debt
- 47.4 ₹cr
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)
gross debt (cash n/a)
- Discount rate (r)
- 14.4%
- Beta
- 1
COE (building-block)
bottom-up industry
- Stage-1 start growth
- 5.5%
- Fade shape
- gentle
- Terminal growth (g)
- 5.5%
- Stage-1 years
- 14 y
pat_cagr_5y
lifecycle Cash-Cow
macro terminal × quality premium
lifecycle Cash-Cow horizon
- Term: quality
- +9.6%
- Term: growth
- -8.0%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +15.0%
- Term: financial_strength
- +10.0%
- Term: history
- +0.8%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
- Lifecycle stage
- Cash-Cow
- Quality premium
- 1.1×
quality 74/100 (high, stable returns) → premium
weak ~5% CAGR (ROCE 92% > hurdle) → discount
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium
history: market paid +3% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
forecast engine (L20)
moat Wide + capital allocation
- Premium vs sector
- +30.1%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 78%
- Fair P/E
- 51.88×
- Path
- FCFE
- Terminal-value fraction
- 0.322
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
computed (D/E vs 0.8)
PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.