Crisil Limited DCF Valuation

CRISIL · Financial Services · Current price ₹4,649

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DocStoX fair value
₹4,535
medium confidence · 58/100
Current price
₹4,698
Upside to fair value
-3.5%
Estimate range
₹3,365 – ₹5,198
Cash-flow model
₹3,365
Residual income (excess return on book) · 40% weight
5Y profit growth
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Crisil Limited cash-flow valuation

Our residual income (excess return on book) values Crisil Limited at ₹3,365 per share. Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity. It carries 40% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹4,535. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Crisil Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Crisil Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence58/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹3,365 – ₹5,198

Why this method for this business

CRISIL is an asset-light, high-moat business with durable earnings power. A relative P/E captures its premium over peers, while residual income reflects its book value and excess returns.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹5,19860% weight
Residual income (excess return on book)
₹3,36540% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

  • dcf: Not suitable for a rating agency with stable, non-cyclical cash flows and no capital-intensive operations

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EBITDA estimates
  • Limited data on capital allocation efficiency
  • No detailed analysis of the company's debt structure

What drives it

21 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
19.84×

peer-median

Peers used
398

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
120.93 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
42.32×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

ROE (normalized)
27.4%

computed

Book value / share
415 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Anchor correction
peer anchor 19.8x diverges 2.1x from 7yr own-history 42.3x (no size-comparable peer) — anchor blended 0.6 toward own-history → 33.3x

peer-anchor mismatch — deep own-history used instead

Term: quality
+10.2%

quality 75/100 (high, stable returns) → premium

Term: growth
+0.0%

growth: no CAGR history → neutral

Term: capital_allocation
-1.5%

capital allocation: steady → neutral

Term: financial_strength
+8.6%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
+8.1%

history: market paid +27% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

Moat
Wide

computed

Excess-return horizon
20 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+29.0%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
85%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
42.98×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Crisil Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Crisil Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.