Dabur India Limited Fair Value
DABUR · Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Current price ₹385
Is Dabur India Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Dabur India Limited at ₹85 per share, against a market price of ₹376. That puts the share price about -77.4% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 2 methods: Discounted cash flow (2-stage) (₹80), Residual income (excess return on book) (₹114). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Dabur India Limited spans ₹77 to ₹94. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Dabur India Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹77 – ₹94
Why this method for this business
Dabur is an asset-light compounder in the FMCG sector, where earnings power and a durable moat are key. A DCF with normalized FCFE, a relative PE based on peers, and residual income from book value all align with its business model.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path
Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity
₹516 is a gross outlier vs the ₹114 model consensus (outside 0.33×–3×) — likely a data error / wrong model for this business
- Discounted cash flow (2-stage) is primary for asset-light compounders; residual income is secondary for book-value residual; relative PE is used for multiple-based comparison
What was missing
- Lack of forward EPS estimates for 2027
- Limited data on brand-specific performance
- No detailed breakdown of revenue by segment
What drives it
17 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- FCF_0 (normalized)
- 1,198 ₹cr
- Net debt
- 1,287 ₹cr
- ROE (normalized)
- 19.2%
- Book value / share
- 64.4 ₹
fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)
gross debt (cash n/a)
computed
reported
- Discount rate (r)
- 14.4%
- Beta
- 1
- Cost of equity
- 10.6%
COE (building-block)
bottom-up industry
building-block
- Stage-1 start growth
- 5.5%
- Fade shape
- gentle
- Terminal growth (g)
- 5.5%
- Stage-1 years
- 14 y
pat_cagr_5y
lifecycle Cash-Cow
macro terminal × quality premium
lifecycle Cash-Cow horizon
- Lifecycle stage
- Cash-Cow
- Quality premium
- 1.1×
- Moat
- Wide
- Excess-return horizon
- 20 yrs
forecast engine (L20)
moat Wide + capital allocation
computed
computed
- Path
- FCFE
- Terminal-value fraction
- 0.322
computed (D/E vs 0.8)
PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Dabur India Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Dabur India Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.