Delhivery Limited DCF Valuation

DELHIVERY · Services · Current price ₹407.5

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DocStoX fair value
₹88
low confidence · 45/100
Current price
₹439
Upside to fair value
-80.0%
Estimate range
₹79 – ₹97
Cash-flow model
₹88
Residual income (excess return on book) · 60% weight
5Y profit growth
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Delhivery Limited cash-flow valuation

Our residual income (excess return on book) values Delhivery Limited at ₹88 per share. Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity. It carries 60% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹88. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Delhivery Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Delhivery Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence45/100

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹79 – ₹97

Why this method for this business

Residual income and relative PE are most appropriate for Delhivery, an asset-light logistics provider with a durable moat. DCF is less suitable due to the cyclical nature of the sector and the difficulty in forecasting cash flows.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹8860% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

Fair multiple (P/E)(rejected)
₹59

implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error)

  • dcf: Not suitable for a cyclical logistics business with volatile cash flows
  • book_value: Not relevant for an asset-light business

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EPS data for precise residual income modeling
  • Limited analyst coverage for relative PE normalization

What drives it

5 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
-2.7%

computed

Book value / share
129 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Delhivery Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Delhivery Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.