Dredging Corporation of India Limited Intrinsic Value

DREDGECORP · Services · Current price ₹891

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DocStoX fair value
₹312
medium confidence · 54/100
Current price
₹1,040
Upside to fair value
-70.0%
Estimate range
₹281 – ₹343
Quality score
2.4 / 10
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Is Dredging Corporation of India Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Dredging Corporation of India Limited at ₹312 per share, against a market price of ₹1,040. That puts the share price about -70.0% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Residual income (excess return on book) (₹312). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Dredging Corporation of India Limited spans ₹281 to ₹343. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Margin of safety

Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,040 against an estimated value of ₹312, Dredging Corporation of India Limited trades at -70.0%, i.e. a premium to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Dredging Corporation of India Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence54/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹281 – ₹343

Why this method for this business

Residual income is the only viable model for a capital-intensive, cyclical dredging business with erratic earnings and no durable moat.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹312100% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

  • dcf: DCF is unsuitable for a capital-intensive business with volatile cash flows and no clear growth trajectory
  • relative_pe: P/E multiples are not applicable for a cyclical, earnings-unstable business

What was missing

  • Forward estimates
  • Detailed capital expenditure plans
  • Long-term project pipeline visibility

What drives it

5 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
0.3%

computed

Book value / share
418.2 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Dredging Corporation of India Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Dredging Corporation of India Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.