The Federal Bank Limited Fair Value

FEDERALBNK · Financial Services · Current price ₹338

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DocStoX fair value
₹204
medium confidence · 65/100
Current price
₹345
Upside to fair value
-40.8%
Estimate range
₹168 – ₹224
Quality score
4.9 / 10
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Is The Federal Bank Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of The Federal Bank Limited at ₹204 per share, against a market price of ₹345. That puts the share price about -40.8% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Justified P/B (Gordon) (₹219), Residual income (excess return on book) (₹168). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for The Federal Bank Limited spans ₹168 to ₹224. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for The Federal Bank Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence65/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹168 – ₹224

Why this method for this business

The justified P/B and residual income models are most appropriate for a private sector bank like Federal Bank, as they focus on sustainable ROE and book value, which are critical for valuing banks.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Justified P/B (Gordon)
₹21970% weight

13% sustainable ROE vs 10.6% cost of equity justifies ~1.4× book

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹16830% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

  • relative_pb was excluded as it relies on peer comparisons which are less relevant for a bank with a unique franchise and capital structure.

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed peer comparisons for P/B
  • Limited forward EPS data for precise residual income modeling

What drives it

11 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
13.1%

computed

Dividend payout
5.5%

ratios/derived

Book value / share
162 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Near-term growth g
12.4%

computed

High-growth years
10 yrs

building-block

Terminal ROE
11.1%

faded toward COE + moat

Terminal growth g
5%

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Justified P/B
1.35×

two-stage Gordon

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for The Federal Bank Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on The Federal Bank Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.