FORCE MOTORS LTD Fair Value

FORCEMOT · Automobile and Auto Components · Current price ₹17,700

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DocStoX fair value
₹18,528
medium confidence · 55/100
Current price
₹17,705
Upside to fair value
+4.6%
Estimate range
₹16,676 – ₹20,381
Quality score
7.6 / 10
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Is FORCE MOTORS LTD undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of FORCE MOTORS LTD at ₹18,528 per share, against a market price of ₹17,705. That puts the share price about +4.6% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA) (₹18,528). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for FORCE MOTORS LTD spans ₹16,676 to ₹20,381. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for FORCE MOTORS LTD. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence55/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹16,676 – ₹20,381

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and EV/EBITDA are the most appropriate models for a cyclical business like Force Motors, which is sensitive to macroeconomic conditions and has volatile earnings.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹18,52870% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • DCF is not suitable for a cyclical business with erratic earnings
  • Book value is not relevant for an asset-light, cyclical business

What was missing

  • Forward-looking analyst estimates
  • Detailed sector-specific EBITDA margin analysis

What drives it

8 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
9,057 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
0 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
1,31,73,496

computed

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
13%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
20.73×

own-history (median of 3y)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
1,177.4 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
24,408.3 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt basis
gross (cash unavailable)

note: net debt approximated by gross debt (cash unavailable)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for FORCE MOTORS LTD: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on FORCE MOTORS LTD

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.