Gateway Distriparks Limited Fair Value
GATEWAY · Services · Current price ₹50.17
Is Gateway Distriparks Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Gateway Distriparks Limited at ₹109 per share, against a market price of ₹53. That puts the share price about +104.3% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 2 methods: Discounted cash flow (2-stage) (₹107), Fair multiple (P/E) (₹113). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Gateway Distriparks Limited spans ₹98 to ₹119. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Gateway Distriparks Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹98 – ₹119
Why this method for this business
DCF and relative PE are the most appropriate models for Gateway Distriparks, given its asset-light, earnings-driven business model and the availability of forward-looking data.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path
- residual_income: Not suitable for an asset-light, earnings-driven business where book value is not a strong indicator of intrinsic value.
What was missing
- Lack of detailed information on capital allocation and leverage management
What drives it
28 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- FCF_0 (normalized)
- 263 ₹cr
- Net debt
- 627.1 ₹cr
- Sector-median P/E
- 31.1×
- Peers used
- 9
- EPS (TTM)
- 4.89 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 11.84×
fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)
total_debt − cash
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
- Discount rate (r)
- 14.4%
- Beta
- 1
COE (building-block)
bottom-up industry
- Stage-1 start growth
- 20%
- Fade shape
- linear
- Terminal growth (g)
- 5.36%
- Stage-1 years
- 10 y
pat_cagr_5y
lifecycle Growth
macro terminal × quality premium
lifecycle Growth horizon
- Lifecycle stage
- Growth
- Quality premium
- 1.071×
- Anchor correction
- peer anchor 31.1x diverges 0.4x from 5yr own-history 11.8x (no size-comparable peer) — anchor blended 0.6 toward own-history → 19.5x
- Term: quality
- +1.1%
- Term: growth
- +9.9%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +8.7%
- Term: financial_strength
- +9.2%
- Term: history
- -11.8%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
forecast engine (L20)
moat Narrow + capital allocation
peer-anchor mismatch — deep own-history used instead
quality 57/100 (about average) → neutral
durable ~18% CAGR (ROCE 12% < 12% hurdle (growth not value-accretive)) → premium
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.1) → mild premium
history: market paid -39% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Path
- FCFE
- Terminal-value fraction
- 0.489
- Premium vs sector
- +17.8%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 77%
- Fair P/E
- 23.02×
computed (D/E vs 0.8)
PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Gateway Distriparks Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Gateway Distriparks Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.