Gopal Snacks Limited Fair Value
GOPAL · Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Current price ₹250.5
Is Gopal Snacks Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Gopal Snacks Limited at ₹195 per share, against a market price of ₹257. That puts the share price about -24.2% above our estimate, at high confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 2 methods: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹195), PEG (growth-implied P/E) (₹192). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Gopal Snacks Limited spans ₹175 to ₹214. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Gopal Snacks Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
The models agree and the inputs are well covered. Treat this as our firmest estimate.
Estimate range ₹175 – ₹214
Why this method for this business
Relative P/E and PEG are appropriate for an asset-light FMCG business with durable earnings power and a narrow moat. DCF is excluded due to the lack of reliable cash flow data and the volatility of earnings.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
- dcf: unreliable cash flow data and volatile earnings make DCF unsuitable for this business type
What was missing
- Lack of forward-looking cash flow data
- Limited analyst coverage for precise P/E normalization
What drives it
17 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 18.85×
- Peers used
- 7
- EPS (TTM)
- 6.73 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 44.51×
- Earnings growth
- 28.5% CAGR
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
computed
- Term: quality
- -3.8%
- Term: growth
- +37.0%
- Term: capital_allocation
- -10.8%
- Term: financial_strength
- +3.4%
- Term: history
- +25.0%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
quality 48/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount
durable ~17% CAGR (ROCE 19% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount
financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.3) → mild premium
history: market paid +136% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Premium vs sector
- +53.9%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 77%
- Fair P/E
- 29.01×
- Growth-implied P/E
- 28.5×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
min(growth, 30)
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Gopal Snacks Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Gopal Snacks Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.