Gravita India Limited Intrinsic Value

GRAVITA · Metals & Mining · Current price ₹1,488.5

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,652
medium confidence · 55/100
Current price
₹1,668
Upside to fair value
-1.0%
Estimate range
₹1,487 – ₹1,818
Quality score
5.6 / 10
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Is Gravita India Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Gravita India Limited at ₹1,652 per share, against a market price of ₹1,668. That puts the share price about -1.0% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹1,652). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Gravita India Limited spans ₹1,487 to ₹1,818. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Margin of safety

Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,668 against an estimated value of ₹1,652, Gravita India Limited trades at -1.0%, i.e. a premium to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Gravita India Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence55/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹1,487 – ₹1,818

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and EV/EBITDA are appropriate for a cyclical commodity business like Gravita, which is sensitive to macroeconomic cycles and commodity prices. Relative PE is used to benchmark against peers in the industrial minerals sector.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹1,65225% weight
Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)(rejected)
₹223

implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • Fair multiple (P/E) was excluded due to its overvaluation relative to the company's cyclical nature and the sector's volatility
  • DCF was excluded due to the lack of reliable cash flow projections and the company's exposure to commodity price swings

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed forward EPS estimates
  • Limited analyst coverage and dispersion in earnings expectations
  • Uncertainty around the long-term growth of the recycling and critical metals market

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
20.24×

peer-median

Peers used
7

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
53.1 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
16.64×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
+0.7%

quality 56/100 (about average) → neutral

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~35% CAGR (ROCE 21% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+8.2%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+5.3%

financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.2) → mild premium

Term: history
-5.3%

history: market paid -18% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+53.8%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
82%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
31.12×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Gravita India Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Gravita India Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.