Greenply Industries Limited Valuation

GREENPLY · Consumer Durables · Current price ₹311

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DocStoX fair value
₹68
medium confidence · 60/100
Current price
₹290
Upside to fair value
-76.6%
Estimate range
₹61 – ₹75
P/E ratio
43.3x
P/B ratio
4.2x
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Opens pre-filled with Greenply Industries Limited's latest numbers.

Is Greenply Industries Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Greenply Industries Limited at ₹68 per share, against a market price of ₹290. That puts the share price about -76.6% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Discounted cash flow (2-stage) (₹69), PEG (growth-implied P/E) (₹64). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Greenply Industries Limited spans ₹61 to ₹75. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Valuation multiples

Greenply Industries Limited trades at a P/E of 43.3x and a P/B of 4.2x, with a dividend yield of 0.2%. Multiples are most useful compared against the company's own history and its sector peers — see the peer comparison for context.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Greenply Industries Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence60/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹61 – ₹75

Why this method for this business

DCF and PEG are the most appropriate models for Greenply Industries Ltd, an asset-light compounder in the consumer durables sector. DCF captures intrinsic value from normalized earnings and a durable moat, while PEG reflects growth-implied valuations.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹6970% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

PEG (growth-implied P/E)
₹6430% weight
  • relative_pe is rejected due to its outlier status and inapplicability for an asset-light business

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for key metrics
  • Limited insight into the company's capital allocation strategy

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
72 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
487.5 ₹cr

total_debt − cash

Earnings growth
8.1% CAGR

computed

EPS (TTM)
7.89 ₹/share

computed

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
14.78%

COE (building-block)

Beta
1.05

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
8.09%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
linear

lifecycle Growth

Terminal growth (g)
4.95%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
10 y

lifecycle Growth horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Growth

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
0.991×

moat None + capital allocation

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.421

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Growth-implied P/E
8.1×

min(growth, 30)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Greenply Industries Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

Understand the ratios

More on Greenply Industries Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.