HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD. DCF Valuation

HINDUNILVR · Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Current price ₹1,893.8

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DocStoX fair value
₹778
high confidence · 75/100
Current price
₹1,927
Upside to fair value
-59.6%
Estimate range
₹700 – ₹896
Cash-flow model
₹747
Discounted cash flow (2-stage) · 70% weight
5Y profit growth
+13.5%
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HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD. cash-flow valuation

Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD. at ₹747 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 70% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹778. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD.'s reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD.. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

High confidence75/100

The models agree and the inputs are well covered. Treat this as our firmest estimate.

Estimate range ₹700 – ₹896

Why this method for this business

Hindustan Unilever is an asset-light compounder in the FMCG sector, where earnings power and a durable moat are key. DCF and PEG are the most appropriate models for valuing a business with stable, predictable cash flows and a strong competitive position.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹74770% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

PEG (growth-implied P/E)
₹89630% weight
  • relative_pe is not suitable for an asset-light compounder with a wide moat; it would overvalue the business based on a flawed multiple

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed information on specific segment performance
  • Limited forward-looking data on pricing power and cost trends

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
9,251 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
1,292 ₹cr

total_debt − cash

Earnings growth
14.1% CAGR

computed

EPS (TTM)
63.66 ₹/share

computed

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
12.9%

COE (building-block)

Beta
0.8

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
10%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
gentle

lifecycle Cash-Cow

Terminal growth (g)
5.5%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
14 y

lifecycle Cash-Cow horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Cash-Cow

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1.1×

moat Wide + capital allocation

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.421

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Growth-implied P/E
14.1×

min(growth, 30)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD.: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD.

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.