Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited Fair Value
HUDCO · Financial Services · Current price ₹161.2
Is Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited at ₹128 per share, against a market price of ₹173. That puts the share price about -25.9% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 2 methods: Justified P/B (Gordon) (₹135), Residual income (excess return on book) (₹112). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited spans ₹112 to ₹141. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹112 – ₹141
Why this method for this business
HUDCO is an NBFC with a focus on housing finance, making justified P/B and residual income models the most appropriate for assessing its intrinsic value based on sustainable ROE and book value.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
13% sustainable ROE vs 11.6% cost of equity justifies ~1.2× book
Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 11.6% cost of equity
- relative_pb was excluded due to its reliance on peer comparisons which may not reflect HUDCO's unique risk profile and capital structure.
What was missing
- Lack of detailed credit risk metrics
- Limited forward EBITDA estimates
- Insufficient data on project default rates
What drives it
11 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- ROE (normalized)
- 13.2%
- Dividend payout
- 10.2%
- Book value / share
- 110 ₹
computed
ratios/derived
reported
- Cost of equity
- 11.6%
building-block
- Near-term growth g
- 11.9%
- High-growth years
- 10 yrs
- Terminal ROE
- 12.1%
- Terminal growth g
- 5%
computed
building-block
faded toward COE + moat
computed
- Moat
- None
- Excess-return horizon
- 3 yrs
computed
computed
- Justified P/B
- 1.23×
two-stage Gordon
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.