The India Cements Limited Valuation

INDIACEM · Construction Materials · Current price ₹298

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DocStoX fair value
₹69
medium confidence · 53/100
Current price
₹347
Upside to fair value
-80.1%
Estimate range
₹63 – ₹76
P/E ratio
116.5x
P/B ratio
2.2x
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Is The India Cements Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of The India Cements Limited at ₹69 per share, against a market price of ₹347. That puts the share price about -80.1% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹69). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for The India Cements Limited spans ₹63 to ₹76. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Valuation multiples

The India Cements Limited trades at a P/E of 116.5x and a P/B of 2.2x, with a dividend yield of 0.3%. Multiples are most useful compared against the company's own history and its sector peers — see the peer comparison for context.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for The India Cements Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence53/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹63 – ₹76

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and relative PE are the most appropriate models for a cyclical business like cement, where mid-cycle earnings and sector multiples are key valuation drivers.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹6930% weight
Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)(rejected)
₹-23

value is not a positive, finite number

  • ev_ebitda is not used due to insufficient data quality and lack of clear EBITDA normalization basis
  • DCF is not used for a cyclical commodity business with erratic earnings

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EBITDA normalization basis
  • Insufficient analyst coverage for precise multiple calibration

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
24.44×

peer-median

Peers used
10

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
2.98 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
65.34×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-15.8%

quality 23/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
-11.8%

weak ~-11% CAGR (ROCE 4% < 12% hurdle (growth not value-accretive)) → discount

Term: capital_allocation
-5.7%

capital allocation: falling ROCE / weak cash generation → discount

Term: financial_strength
+7.8%

financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.1) → mild premium

Term: history
+25.0%

history: market paid +167% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
-4.6%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
70%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
23.32×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for The India Cements Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

Understand the ratios

More on The India Cements Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.