IndoStar Capital Finance Limited Intrinsic Value

INDOSTAR · Financial Services · Current price ₹197

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DocStoX fair value
₹674
medium confidence · 52/100
Current price
₹244
Upside to fair value
+175.8%
Estimate range
₹606 – ₹741
Quality score
3.3 / 10
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Is IndoStar Capital Finance Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of IndoStar Capital Finance Limited at ₹674 per share, against a market price of ₹244. That puts the share price about +175.8% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Discounted cash flow (2-stage) (₹674). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for IndoStar Capital Finance Limited spans ₹606 to ₹741. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Margin of safety

Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹244 against an estimated value of ₹674, IndoStar Capital Finance Limited trades at +175.8%, i.e. a discount to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for IndoStar Capital Finance Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence52/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹606 – ₹741

Why this method for this business

DCF is the most appropriate model for NBFCs like Indostar Capital Finance Ltd, as it captures the intrinsic value of a financial institution through its cash flow generation and capital structure.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹674100% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFF path

  • ev_sales: Not applicable for NBFCs, as EV/Sales is more suited for asset-light businesses with stable revenue streams.

What was missing

  • Lack of forward-looking EBITDA estimates
  • Limited data on credit risk exposure
  • Insufficient information on regulatory changes

What drives it

12 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
1,064 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
5,476.8 ₹cr

gross debt (cash n/a)

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
11.64%

WACC (computed)

Beta
1.45

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
4.82%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
linear

lifecycle Turnaround

Terminal growth (g)
4.82%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
8 y

lifecycle Turnaround horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Turnaround

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
0.964×

moat None + capital allocation

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFF

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.604

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for IndoStar Capital Finance Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on IndoStar Capital Finance Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.