Intellect Design Arena Limited DCF Valuation

INTELLECT · Information Technology · Current price ₹644.15

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DocStoX fair value
₹497
low confidence · 45/100
Current price
₹683
Upside to fair value
-27.2%
Estimate range
₹249 – ₹853
Cash-flow model
₹141
Discounted cash flow (2-stage) · 60% weight
5Y profit growth
+5.3%
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Intellect Design Arena Limited cash-flow valuation

Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values Intellect Design Arena Limited at ₹141 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 60% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹497. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Intellect Design Arena Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Intellect Design Arena Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence45/100floor: no better than this

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹249 – ₹853

Why this method for this business

The company is an IT services firm with a strong moat and consistent earnings power, making DCF and relative PE the most appropriate models. EV/EBITDA is excluded due to insufficient data.

The models behind the number

These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their plain midpoint rather than a weighted blend. The disagreement is itself the finding.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹141equal weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹853equal weight
  • ev_ebitda: required inputs missing

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EBITDA estimates
  • Limited analyst coverage for precise multiple normalization

What drives it

27 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
155 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
159 ₹cr

gross debt (cash n/a)

Sector-median P/E
23.52×

peer-median

Peers used
12

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
25.28 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
36.46×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
13.65%

COE (building-block)

Beta
0.9

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
5.37%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
linear

lifecycle Growth

Terminal growth (g)
5.37%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
10 y

lifecycle Growth horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Growth

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1.073×

moat Narrow + capital allocation

Term: quality
-4.9%

quality 45/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
+9.0%

durable ~10% CAGR (ROCE 16% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+9.6%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+7.2%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
+16.5%

history: market paid +55% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.469

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Premium vs sector
+43.5%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
84%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
33.76×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Intellect Design Arena Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Intellect Design Arena Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.