Jubilant Agri and Consumer Products Limited DCF Valuation

JUBLCPL · Chemicals · Current price ₹1,858.1

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DocStoX fair value
₹2,638
medium confidence · 55/100
Current price
₹2,106
Upside to fair value
+25.3%
Estimate range
₹2,375 – ₹2,902
5Y profit growth
—
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Jubilant Agri and Consumer Products Limited cash-flow valuation

Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Jubilant Agri and Consumer Products Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹2,638.

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How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Jubilant Agri and Consumer Products Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence55/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹2,375 – ₹2,902

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and EV/EBITDA are the most appropriate models for a cyclical specialty chemicals business, as they reflect mid-cycle earnings and through-cycle valuation multiples.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹2,63870% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • DCF is not suitable for a cyclical business with volatile cash flows
  • Book value is not relevant for an asset-light, earnings-driven business

What was missing

  • Forward estimates
  • Detailed sector-specific EV/EBITDA multiples
  • Detailed analysis of moat sustainability

What drives it

8 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
1,829 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
51 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
1,51,96,486

computed

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
9.5%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
23.37×

own-history (median of 4y)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
173.8 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
4,060.4 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt basis
gross (cash unavailable)

note: net debt approximated by gross debt (cash unavailable)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Jubilant Agri and Consumer Products Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Jubilant Agri and Consumer Products Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.