Kajaria Ceramics Limited DCF Valuation

KAJARIACER · Consumer Durables · Current price ₹1,218.8

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DocStoX fair value
₹311
medium confidence · 60/100
Current price
₹1,226
Upside to fair value
-74.6%
Estimate range
₹279 – ₹414
Cash-flow model
₹284
Discounted cash flow (2-stage) · 70% weight
5Y profit growth
+9.5%
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Kajaria Ceramics Limited cash-flow valuation

Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values Kajaria Ceramics Limited at ₹284 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 70% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹311. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Kajaria Ceramics Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Kajaria Ceramics Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence60/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹279 – ₹414

Why this method for this business

The DCF model is appropriate for a mature, asset-light business with stable cash flows, while the PEG model captures growth-implied valuation based on earnings power and a durable moat.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Discounted cash flow (2-stage)
₹28470% weight

Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path

PEG (growth-implied P/E)
₹41430% weight
  • relative_pe: Missing required inputs for multiple-based valuation
  • peg: Used as a secondary model to capture growth-implied P/E

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EPS estimates for precise PEG modeling
  • Limited analyst coverage for relative PE valuation

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
FCF_0 (normalized)
348 ₹cr

fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)

Net debt
173.1 ₹cr

total_debt − cash

Earnings growth
12.1% CAGR

computed

EPS (TTM)
34.28 ₹/share

computed

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Discount rate (r)
14.78%

COE (building-block)

Beta
1.05

bottom-up industry

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Stage-1 start growth
9.53%

pat_cagr_5y

Fade shape
linear

lifecycle Mature

Terminal growth (g)
5.4%

macro terminal × quality premium

Stage-1 years
9 y

lifecycle Mature horizon

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Lifecycle stage
Mature

forecast engine (L20)

Quality premium
1.08×

moat Narrow + capital allocation

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Path
FCFE

computed (D/E vs 0.8)

Terminal-value fraction
0.478

PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)

Growth-implied P/E
12.1×

min(growth, 30)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Kajaria Ceramics Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Kajaria Ceramics Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.