K.P.R. Mill Limited Intrinsic Value

KPRMILL · Textiles · Current price ₹1,105

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DocStoX fair value
₹1,252
medium confidence · 57/100
Current price
₹1,109
Upside to fair value
+12.9%
Estimate range
₹1,101 – ₹1,608
Quality score
4.2 / 10
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Is K.P.R. Mill Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of K.P.R. Mill Limited at ₹1,252 per share, against a market price of ₹1,109. That puts the share price about +12.9% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 2 methods: Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA) (₹1,101), Fair multiple (P/E) (₹1,608). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for K.P.R. Mill Limited spans ₹1,101 to ₹1,608. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

Margin of safety

Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,109 against an estimated value of ₹1,252, K.P.R. Mill Limited trades at +12.9%, i.e. a discount to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for K.P.R. Mill Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence57/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹1,101 – ₹1,608

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and relative PE are the most appropriate models for a cyclical textile business with a durable moat and mid-cycle earnings power.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹1,10170% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹1,60830% weight
  • ev_ebitda is not used due to insufficient data quality for enterprise value and debt structure

What was missing

  • Lack of forward EPS data for precise normalization
  • Limited analyst coverage for peer comparison

What drives it

22 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
6,650 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
532.1 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
34,17,93,570

computed

Sector-median P/E
45.64×

peer-median

Peers used
6

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
26.69 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
32.72×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
20%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
28.7×

own-history (median of 5y)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
+7.0%

quality 69/100 (high, stable returns) → premium

Term: growth
+17.0%

durable ~12% CAGR (ROCE 21% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+4.6%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
+8.8%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
-8.5%

history: market paid -28% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
1,330 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
38,167.4 ₹ cr

computed

Premium vs sector
+32.0%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
77%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
60.25×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for K.P.R. Mill Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on K.P.R. Mill Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.