Lloyds Metals And Energy Limited Fair Value

LLOYDSME · Metals & Mining · Current price ₹1,847.1

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DocStoX fair value
₹2,288
medium confidence · 52/100
Current price
₹1,800
Upside to fair value
+27.1%
Estimate range
₹2,060 – ₹2,517
Quality score
4.9 / 10
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Is Lloyds Metals And Energy Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Lloyds Metals And Energy Limited at ₹2,288 per share, against a market price of ₹1,800. That puts the share price about +27.1% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹2,288). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Lloyds Metals And Energy Limited spans ₹2,060 to ₹2,517. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Lloyds Metals And Energy Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence52/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹2,060 – ₹2,517

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and EV/EBITDA are appropriate for a commodity miner with cyclical earnings and capital intensity. Relative PE is used to benchmark against peers in the same sector.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹2,28820% weight
Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)(rejected)
₹106

implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • Fair multiple (P/E) was rejected due to data quality issues and lack of sector alignment
  • DCF was excluded due to the cyclical nature of the business and the difficulty in forecasting cash flows

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed capital structure data
  • Limited analyst coverage
  • Uncertainty in long-term commodity price trends

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
18.01×

peer-median

Peers used
4

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
86 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
24.41×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
-6.6%

quality 42/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~34% CAGR (ROCE 25% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+3.0%

capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium

Term: financial_strength
-2.1%

financial strength: elevated leverage (D/E 0.8) → mild discount

Term: history
+10.7%

history: market paid +36% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+47.8%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
76%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
26.61×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Lloyds Metals And Energy Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Lloyds Metals And Energy Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.