Lodha Developers Limited Intrinsic Value
LODHA · Realty · Current price ₹1,058.7
Is Lodha Developers Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Lodha Developers Limited at ₹294 per share, against a market price of ₹1,117. That puts the share price about -73.7% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 1 method: Residual income (legacy engine) (₹294). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Lodha Developers Limited spans ₹236 to ₹424. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
Margin of safety
Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,117 against an estimated value of ₹294, Lodha Developers Limited trades at -73.7%, i.e. a premium to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Lodha Developers Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹236 – ₹424
Why this method for this business
Legacy residual income is appropriate for a realty developer with a strong balance sheet and a durable moat, as it captures the value of book value and residual income.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Book-value residual income with per-category routing (legacy engine)
- DCF is not suitable for realty due to its cyclical nature and uncertain cash flows
- P/E is not reliable due to the sector's volatility and the lack of consistent earnings
What was missing
- Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for certain periods
- Limited data on future land monetization and project pipelines
What drives it
3 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Cost of equity
- 13.5%
building-block
- Moat
- None
- Uncertainty
- Very High
computed
computed
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Lodha Developers Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Lodha Developers Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.