Manappuram Finance Limited DCF Valuation

MANAPPURAM · Financial Services · Current price ₹323.95

Full stock page
DocStoX fair value
₹536
low confidence · 45/100
Current price
₹329
Upside to fair value
+62.9%
Estimate range
₹483 – ₹643
Cash-flow model
₹643
Residual income (excess return on book) · 30% weight
5Y profit growth
-10.4%
Model it yourself — DCF Calculator
Opens pre-filled with Manappuram Finance Limited's latest numbers.

Manappuram Finance Limited cash-flow valuation

Our residual income (excess return on book) values Manappuram Finance Limited at ₹643 per share. Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity. It carries 30% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹536. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

Try your own assumptions

Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Manappuram Finance Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Manappuram Finance Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Low confidence45/100

The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.

Estimate range ₹483 – ₹643

Why this method for this business

The justified P/B and residual income models are most appropriate for an NBFC like Manappuram Finance, as they align with its capital structure and focus on sustainable ROE relative to the cost of equity.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Justified P/B (Gordon)
₹49170% weight

17% sustainable ROE vs 10.6% cost of equity justifies ~2.9× book

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹64330% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

  • relative_pb was excluded due to limited peer data and lack of clear benchmarking

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed peer data for relative P/B
  • Limited forward EBITDA estimates
  • No detailed information on credit risk exposure

What drives it

11 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
16.7%

computed

Dividend payout
3.4%

ratios/derived

Book value / share
171 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
Near-term growth g
16.1%

computed

High-growth years
10 yrs

building-block

Terminal ROE
14.6%

faded toward COE + moat

Terminal growth g
5%

computed

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
Wide

computed

Excess-return horizon
20 yrs

computed

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Justified P/B
2.87×

two-stage Gordon

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Manappuram Finance Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Manappuram Finance Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.