MOIL Limited Fair Value

MOIL · Metals & Mining · Current price ₹234.33

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DocStoX fair value
₹273
medium confidence · 55/100
Current price
₹245
Upside to fair value
+11.5%
Estimate range
₹245 – ₹300
Quality score
4.5 / 10
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Is MOIL Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of MOIL Limited at ₹273 per share, against a market price of ₹245. That puts the share price about +11.5% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA) (₹273). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for MOIL Limited spans ₹245 to ₹300. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for MOIL Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence55/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹245 – ₹300

Why this method for this business

Normalized earnings and EV/EBITDA are the most appropriate models for a cyclical commodity miner like MOIL, as they reflect mid-cycle earnings and through-cycle valuation multiples.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Normalized earnings (mid-cycle EV/EBITDA)
₹27370% weight

Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • relative_pe: Not used due to lack of reliable sector P/E data for cyclical commodities
  • ev_ebitda: Used with lower weight due to limited historical data on EV/EBITDA for this specific business type

What was missing

  • Limited historical EV/EBITDA data for MOIL
  • No analyst-dispersion signal for P/E multiples
  • No sector-norm history for fair multiple adjustments

What drives it

8 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Revenue (TTM)
1,472.8 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt
0 ₹ cr

computed

Shares outstanding
20,00,00,000

computed

AssumptionA forward input the model chose. Reasonable people can disagree here.
EBITDA margin (cycle median)
30%

computed (≤5y median)

Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
12.34×

own-history (median of 5y)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Mid-cycle EBITDA
441.9 ₹ cr

computed

Enterprise value
5,453.8 ₹ cr

computed

Net debt basis
gross (cash unavailable)

note: net debt approximated by gross debt (cash unavailable)

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for MOIL Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on MOIL Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.