NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD Fair Value

NATIONALUM · Metals & Mining · Current price ₹370

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DocStoX fair value
₹439
low confidence
Current price
₹370
Upside to fair value
+18.6%
Verdict
Fairly Valued
Quality score
7.3 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹22029% ROE fading to 13% over ~10 yrs, on ₹118 book
Relative P/E₹1,038EPS × 32.9 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹289Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst target₹402Street consensus 12-month target price
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
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Is NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD at ₹439 per share, versus the current market price of ₹370. That puts the stock about +18.6% below our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Fairly Valued". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 4 independent methods: Residual income (₹220), Relative P/E (₹1,038), Graham floor (₹289), Analyst target (₹402). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹220 (bear) to ₹439 (base) to ₹1,038 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.