Nephrocare Health Services Limited DCF Valuation
NEPHROPLUS · Healthcare · Current price ₹619.05
Nephrocare Health Services Limited cash-flow valuation
Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Nephrocare Health Services Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹167.
Try your own assumptions
Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Nephrocare Health Services Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Nephrocare Health Services Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.
Estimate range ₹150 – ₹183
Why this method for this business
The company is a healthcare service provider, which is asset-light and earnings-driven. A relative P/E and EV/EBITDA are appropriate for capturing its earnings power and capital structure.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
required inputs missing
- dcf: Not suitable for a service provider with erratic earnings and high capital intensity
- fair multiple (P/E): Already included in relative PE model
What was missing
- Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates
- Limited historical data on earnings power
What drives it
14 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 34.99×
- Peers used
- 7
- EPS (TTM)
- 4.19 ₹/share
peer-median
peer-median
computed
- Term: quality
- -12.5%
- Term: growth
- +20.4%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +3.0%
- Term: financial_strength
- +3.5%
- Term: history
- +0.0%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
quality 30/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount
durable ~28% CAGR (ROCE 8% < 12% hurdle (growth not value-accretive)) → premium
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium
history: no reliable own-history P/E → not used
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Premium vs sector
- +13.6%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 48%
- Fair P/E
- 39.75×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Nephrocare Health Services Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Nephrocare Health Services Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.