Nesco Limited Intrinsic Value
NESCO · Services · Current price ₹1,045.9
Is Nesco Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Nesco Limited at ₹1,413 per share, against a market price of ₹1,102. That puts the share price about +28.2% below our estimate, at low confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 2 methods: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹2,088), Residual income (excess return on book) (₹738). These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their midpoint rather than a weighted blend, and the disagreement is part of the finding. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Nesco Limited spans ₹738 to ₹2,088. That range is wide, which is the honest signal here: read the range rather than the single number. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
Margin of safety
Value investors look for a margin of safety: a discount to estimated value that absorbs being wrong. At ₹1,102 against an estimated value of ₹1,413, Nesco Limited trades at +28.2%, i.e. a discount to our estimate. How much margin to demand depends on how much you trust the inputs, which is what the confidence band below is for.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Nesco Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
The inputs are thin or the models disagree sharply. This is our least reliable kind of estimate, so read the range rather than the single number.
Estimate range ₹738 – ₹2,088
Why this method for this business
The business is asset-light with durable earnings power, making relative PE and residual income the most appropriate models. DCF is less relevant due to the lack of clear cash flow patterns and the presence of non-cash items.
The models behind the number
These methods disagree materially, so the estimate is their plain midpoint rather than a weighted blend. The disagreement is itself the finding.
Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity
- dcf: lacks clear cash flow patterns and is less relevant for an asset-light business with non-cash items
What was missing
- Lack of forward EPS estimates
- Limited analyst coverage
- Insufficient historical data on sector multiples
What drives it
20 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 23.67×
- Peers used
- 9
- EPS (TTM)
- 59.13 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 17.12×
- ROE (normalized)
- 15.2%
- Book value / share
- 425 ₹
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
computed
reported
- Cost of equity
- 10.6%
building-block
- Term: quality
- +7.8%
- Term: growth
- +40.0%
- Term: capital_allocation
- -1.5%
- Term: financial_strength
- +8.1%
- Term: history
- -8.3%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
- Moat
- Narrow
- Excess-return horizon
- 10 yrs
quality 71/100 (high, stable returns) → premium
durable ~23% CAGR (ROCE 22% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: steady → neutral
financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium
history: market paid -28% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
computed
computed
- Premium vs sector
- +49.2%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 82%
- Fair P/E
- 35.31×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Nesco Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Nesco Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.