THE NEW INDIA ASSU CO LTD DCF Valuation

NIACL · Financial Services · Current price ₹179.5

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DocStoX fair value
₹125
medium confidence · 61/100
Current price
₹198
Upside to fair value
-37.0%
Estimate range
₹112 – ₹138
Cash-flow model
₹125
Residual income (excess return on book) · 40% weight
5Y profit growth
-3.8%
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THE NEW INDIA ASSU CO LTD cash-flow valuation

Our residual income (excess return on book) values THE NEW INDIA ASSU CO LTD at ₹125 per share. Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity. It carries 40% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹125. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.

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How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for THE NEW INDIA ASSU CO LTD. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence61/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹112 – ₹138

Why this method for this business

The justified P/B model is appropriate for a general insurance company with a stable book value and a clear cost of equity. The residual income model complements this by capturing the excess returns on book value, which is relevant for a state-owned entity with a long-term focus.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Residual income (excess return on book)
₹12540% weight

Book value plus the present value of returns earned above the 10.6% cost of equity

Justified P/B (Gordon)(rejected)
₹20

implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error)

  • relative_pb is rejected due to its high P/E multiple and lack of alignment with the industry's typical valuation range.

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed forward EBITDA estimates
  • Limited data on long-term growth assumptions
  • Insufficient information on the company's capital structure and leverage

What drives it

5 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
ROE (normalized)
4.1%

computed

Book value / share
149.4 ₹

reported

MacroEconomy-wide input, not company-specific.
Cost of equity
10.6%

building-block

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Moat
None

computed

Excess-return horizon
3 yrs

computed

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for THE NEW INDIA ASSU CO LTD: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

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DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.