Nitin Spinners Limited DCF Valuation
NITINSPIN · Textiles · Current price ₹620.45
Nitin Spinners Limited cash-flow valuation
Our engine did not use a discounted-cash-flow model for Nitin Spinners Limited. It routes each business to the methods that suit it, and a DCF is a poor lens where cash-flow forecasts are fragile or the business is capital-structure driven. The methods it did use, and why, are set out below. Our published estimate is ₹608.
Try your own assumptions
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How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Nitin Spinners Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹547 – ₹669
Why this method for this business
Normalized earnings and relative PE are appropriate for a cyclical textile business with mid-cycle earnings and sector-based valuation.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Cyclical valued off mid-cycle earnings and a through-cycle EV/EBITDA (§6.6)
- ev_ebitda was excluded due to insufficient data quality for EV/EBITDA calculation
What was missing
- Lack of forward EPS estimates for precise normalization
- Limited peer data for sector PE analysis
What drives it
24 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Revenue (TTM)
- 3,213.9 ₹ cr
- Net debt
- 1,124.5 ₹ cr
- Shares outstanding
- 5,00,00,000
- Sector-median P/E
- 25.13×
- Peers used
- 25
- EPS (TTM)
- 37.68 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 7.68×
computed
computed
computed
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
- EBITDA margin (cycle median)
- 14%
- Through-cycle EV/EBITDA
- 9.07×
computed (≤5y median)
own-history (median of 5y)
- Anchor correction
- peer anchor 25.1x diverges 0.3x from 7yr own-history 7.7x (no size-comparable peer) — anchor blended 0.6 toward own-history → 14.7x
- Term: quality
- -5.1%
- Term: growth
- +38.9%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +0.5%
- Term: financial_strength
- +1.2%
- Term: history
- -14.3%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
peer-anchor mismatch — deep own-history used instead
quality 45/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount
durable ~18% CAGR (ROCE 12% > hurdle) → premium
capital allocation: steady → neutral
financial strength: moderate leverage (D/E 0.8) → neutral
history: market paid -48% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Mid-cycle EBITDA
- 449.9 ₹ cr
- Enterprise value
- 4,079.6 ₹ cr
- Net debt basis
- gross (cash unavailable)
- Premium vs sector
- +16.2%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 76%
- Fair P/E
- 17.04×
computed
computed
note: net debt approximated by gross debt (cash unavailable)
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Nitin Spinners Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Nitin Spinners Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.