NOVARTIS INDIA LIMITED Fair Value

NOVARTIND · Healthcare · Current price ₹1,592

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DocStoX fair value
₹678
low confidence
Current price
₹1,592
Upside to fair value
-57.4%
Verdict
Avoid
Quality score
4.2 / 10
Valuation methods
MethodFair valueStatus
Residual income₹33111% ROE fading to 12% over ~3 yrs, on ₹332 book
Relative P/E₹1,454EPS × 38.5 peer-median P/E
Graham floor₹531Conservative floor: √(22.5 × EPS × book value/share)
Analyst targetNo analyst coverage
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
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Is NOVARTIS INDIA LIMITED undervalued?

DocStoX estimates the fair value of NOVARTIS INDIA LIMITED at ₹678 per share, versus the current market price of ₹1,592. That puts the stock about -57.4% above our fair-value estimate, which we read as "Avoid". Our confidence in this estimate is low.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate blends 3 independent methods: Residual income (₹331), Relative P/E (₹1,454), Graham floor (₹531). We weight each by its reliability and skip any method whose inputs look untrustworthy — "no DCF beats a wrong DCF". This is the same deterministic engine that powers DocStoX stock pages; there is no guesswork or AI-generated number here.

Bear, base and bull scenarios

Our scenarios span ₹331 (bear) to ₹678 (base) to ₹1,454 (bull). A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the base case — the wider the gap, the more room for error in the assumptions.

More on NOVARTIS INDIA LIMITED

DocStoX estimates are generated by a deterministic valuation engine from reported financials — for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.