Orient Electric Limited DCF Valuation
ORIENTELEC · Consumer Durables · Current price ₹200.1
Orient Electric Limited cash-flow valuation
Our discounted cash flow (2-stage) values Orient Electric Limited at ₹39 per share. Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path. It carries 60% of the weight in our published estimate of ₹40. A discounted cash flow is only as good as the cash-flow path it assumes, so the assumptions behind it are listed in full below.
Try your own assumptions
Prefer to build the discounted cash flow yourself? The DCF calculator below opens pre-filled with Orient Electric Limited's reported free cash flow, net debt and share count, so you can set your own growth and discount rate.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Orient Electric Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹36 – ₹44
Why this method for this business
Orient Electric is an asset-light consumer discretionary business with durable earnings power. DCF is appropriate for its mature lifecycle, relative PE aligns with sector peers, and PEG captures growth expectations.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
Intrinsic value from 2-stage discounted cash flows (primary for asset-light / normal businesses); FCFE path
₹185 is a gross outlier vs the ₹41 model consensus (outside 0.33×–3×) — likely a data error / wrong model for this business
- Discounted cash flow (2-stage) is primary for mature, asset-light businesses like Orient Electric. Relative PE is used for sector alignment, and PEG captures growth expectations. Other models like EV/EBITDA are not suitable for this business type.
What was missing
- Lack of forward-looking analyst estimates for precise growth assumptions
- Limited data on brand strength and moat durability
What drives it
15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- FCF_0 (normalized)
- 77 ₹cr
- Net debt
- 93.3 ₹cr
- Earnings growth
- 8% CAGR
- EPS (TTM)
- 5.16 ₹/share
fcf_norm (median ≤5y positive)
gross debt (cash n/a)
computed
computed
- Discount rate (r)
- 14.78%
- Beta
- 1.05
COE (building-block)
bottom-up industry
- Stage-1 start growth
- 5%
- Fade shape
- linear
- Terminal growth (g)
- 5%
- Stage-1 years
- 8 y
pat_cagr_5y
lifecycle Mature
macro terminal × quality premium
lifecycle Mature horizon
- Lifecycle stage
- Mature
- Quality premium
- 1×
forecast engine (L20)
moat None + capital allocation
- Path
- FCFE
- Terminal-value fraction
- 0.491
- Growth-implied P/E
- 8×
computed (D/E vs 0.8)
PV_TV / (PV_1+PV_TV)
min(growth, 30)
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Orient Electric Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 15 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Orient Electric Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.