Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited Fair Value

PARAS · Capital Goods · Current price ₹1,296.6

Full stock page
DocStoX fair value
₹879
medium confidence · 61/100
Current price
₹1,436
Upside to fair value
-38.8%
Estimate range
₹791 – ₹967
Quality score
6.0 / 10
Model it yourself — Margin of Safety Calculator
Opens pre-filled with Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited's latest numbers.

Is Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited undervalued?

We estimate the fair value of Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited at ₹879 per share, against a market price of ₹1,436. That puts the share price about -38.8% above our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

How this fair value is calculated

This estimate comes from 1 method: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹879). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.

The range around this estimate

Our estimate for Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited spans ₹791 to ₹967. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.

How we got this fair value

Every number below is part of the same estimate for Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.

Medium confidence61/100

Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.

Estimate range ₹791 – ₹967

Why this method for this business

The aerospace and defense sector is capital-intensive, requiring a DCF to capture the value of long-term cash flows, EV/EBITDA to assess operational efficiency, and a relative P/E to benchmark against peers.

The models behind the number

Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.

Fair multiple (P/E)
₹87930% weight
Discounted cash flow (2-stage)(rejected)
₹16

implied value is <0.2× the price (likely a data error)

EV / EBITDA(not enough data)

required inputs missing

  • Discounted cash flow (DCF) is not used for cyclical or volatile sectors, but it is appropriate here due to the stable demand for defense products. EV/EBITDA is not used for asset-light businesses, but it is suitable for capital-heavy firms like this one. Relative P/E is not used for growth stocks, but it is appropriate for mature, stable businesses like this one.

What was missing

  • Lack of detailed information on capital expenditures and working capital requirements
  • Limited analyst coverage and forward estimates
  • Insufficient data on the company's competitive positioning relative to global peers

What drives it

15 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
ReportedRead from filings or market data. Verifiable, not our opinion.
Sector-median P/E
52.02×

peer-median

Peers used
4

peer-median

EPS (TTM)
11.72 ₹/share

computed

Own-history median P/E
101.73×

reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)

JudgementOur read of the evidence, not a measurement.
Term: quality
+2.5%

quality 60/100 (high, stable returns) → premium

Term: growth
+40.0%

durable ~34% CAGR (ROCE 13% > hurdle) → premium

Term: capital_allocation
+0.9%

capital allocation: steady → neutral

Term: financial_strength
+5.6%

financial strength: effectively debt-free → premium

Term: history
+25.0%

history: market paid +96% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)

Term: sector_rerating
+0.0%

sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used

Term: rate_regime
+1.2%

rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple

Term: risk
+0.0%

risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)

DerivedFalls out of the inputs above: a model output, not an independent input.
Premium vs sector
+44.2%

fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)

Fair-multiple confidence
80%

data completeness + term agreement

Fair P/E
75×

sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple

Who computed this

A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.

Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.

How we value stocks

We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.

Read the full fair-value methodology

More on Paras Defence and Space Technologies Limited

DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.