Patanjali Foods Limited Fair Value
PATANJALI · Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Current price ₹367.3
Is Patanjali Foods Limited undervalued?
We estimate the fair value of Patanjali Foods Limited at ₹613 per share, against a market price of ₹341. That puts the share price about +79.8% below our estimate, at medium confidence. This is our view of what the business is worth, not a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
How this fair value is calculated
This estimate comes from 2 methods: Fair multiple (P/E) (₹657), PEG (growth-implied P/E) (₹489). Each is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company. The full working, including the assumptions and what data was missing, is set out below.
The range around this estimate
Our estimate for Patanjali Foods Limited spans ₹489 to ₹674. A margin of safety means buying meaningfully below the estimate: the wider the range, the more room the assumptions leave for error.
How we got this fair value
Every number below is part of the same estimate for Patanjali Foods Limited. Nothing here is a target price or a forecast of where the share price will go.
Workable, with real gaps. Weigh it alongside your own view rather than on its own.
Estimate range ₹489 – ₹674
Why this method for this business
Patanjali Foods is an asset-light compounder in the FMCG sector, where earnings power and a durable moat are key. Relative P/E and PEG are the most appropriate models for valuing such a business, as they reflect normalized earnings and growth-adjusted multiples.
The models behind the number
Each method is weighted by how well its inputs held up for this company.
- dcf: DCF is not suitable for an asset-light, high-growth FMCG business where cash flows are volatile and not easily predictable.
- peg: PEG is used to capture the growth-adjusted P/E, which is critical for a business with strong earnings growth and a wide moat.
What was missing
- Lack of detailed peer comparisons for the P/E multiple
- Limited analyst coverage and dispersion in estimates
- No detailed capital allocation or ROCE data for DCF analysis
What drives it
17 inputs, grouped by how strong each claim is
- Sector-median P/E
- 22.88×
- Peers used
- 3
- EPS (TTM)
- 18.12 ₹/share
- Own-history median P/E
- 134.86×
- Earnings growth
- 27% CAGR
peer-median
peer-median
computed
reconstructed (one feature, dampened — not a cap)
computed
- Term: quality
- -4.1%
- Term: growth
- +12.7%
- Term: capital_allocation
- +9.6%
- Term: financial_strength
- +5.8%
- Term: history
- +25.0%
- Term: sector_rerating
- +0.0%
- Term: rate_regime
- +1.2%
- Term: risk
- +0.0%
quality 47/100 (weak/erratic returns) → discount
durable ~21% CAGR (ROCE 12% < 12% hurdle (growth not value-accretive)) → premium
capital allocation: rising ROCE funded by strong FCF → premium
financial strength: low leverage (D/E 0.2) → mild premium
history: market paid +489% vs sector, dampened ×0.3 (one feature, not the anchor)
sector re-rating: no sector-norm history → not used
rates: risk-free 6.9% below ~7.1% normal → higher multiple
risk: no analyst-dispersion signal available → neutral (lowers confidence, not PE)
- Premium vs sector
- +58.4%
- Fair-multiple confidence
- 76%
- Fair P/E
- 36.25×
- Growth-implied P/E
- 27×
fundamentals + macro (not capped at own history)
data completeness + term agreement
sector median × ∏(1+term) — Dynamic Fair Multiple
min(growth, 30)
Who computed this
A language model (qwen3:8b) selects the valuation method and the judgement inputs for Patanjali Foods Limited: which models suit the business, the moat, the growth and margin assumptions. It does not produce the number. The fair value itself is computed in Python by a deterministic engine (version 2026.08.1) from those inputs, so the same inputs always give the same result and every figure above can be traced to a source.
Estimated 14 Sept 2026. Re-run as new financials and news arrive.
How we value stocks
We estimate what a business is worth from its own economics: cash flows, returns on capital, and a multiple justified by its quality, rather than from where the share price has been. A fair value estimate is a view, not a verdict, and it is only as good as the inputs listed above.
Read the full fair-value methodologyMore on Patanjali Foods Limited
DocStoX estimates are computed from reported financials, for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.